Two New Polls

This time from Angus-Reid and Strategic Counsel. I'm not ready to make projections yet, but still wanted to pass along the information. First, Angus-Reid:

Conservatives - 39%
Liberals - 30%
NDP - 17%
Bloc Québécois - 9%
Greens - 5%

And now Strategic Counsel:

Conservatives - 36%
Liberals - 29%
NDP - 18%
Bloc Québécois - 8%
Greens - 8%

This more or less confirms my hunch that the Nanos poll was an outlier. The results for Ontario and Quebec breakdown like this, with AR first and SC second:

ONTARIO

Conservatives - 42%/41%
Liberals - 40%/37%
NDP - 12%/16%
Greens - 5%/7%

QUEBEC

Bloc Québécois - 37%/36%
Liberals - 25%/29%
Conservatives - 19%/17%
NDP - 12%/11%
Greens - 5%/8%

If it is as close as it looks in Ontario and if the Liberals are doing so much better than the Conservatives in Quebec, an election result could be much closer than the national numbers show.

Some New Polls

Two new polls have been released today from Ipsos-Reid and Nanos. The details of the Ipsos-Reid poll aren't available yet, but you can read the Nanos poll here. The site isn't quite ready to start projecting, but when a few more polls come out I should be ready. I'll definitely try to get the site up and running before the budget vote.

In any case, here are the national results:

IPSOS-REID

Conservatives - 39%
Liberals - 28%
NDP - 15%
Greens - 9%
Bloc Quebecois - 8%

NANOS RESEARCH

Liberals - 34%
Conservatives - 33%
NDP - 19%
Bloc Quebecois - 7%
Greens - 7%

That is a large discrepancy, and if I had to guess which is the more accurate I'd say Ipsos-Reid. The Nanos poll has some odd numbers in Quebec which look to be an outlier result to me (LPC 39%, BQ 29%, CPC 17%, NDP 14%, GPC 1%).

Stay tuned for the site updates.